Les références ci-dessous constituent le socle scientifique du Baromètre Starfish 2026. Elles regroupent des articles évalués par les pairs, des jeux de données officiels ainsi que des rapports de référence issus d'organismes de recherche et d'institutions internationales. Chaque référence est accompagnée d'un lien vers sa source originale.
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Etat de l'Océan
L’élévation moyenne globale du niveau de la mer et le réchauffement de l’Océan s’accélèrent.
Leclercq, L., Oelsmann, J., Cazenave, A., Passaro, M., Jevrejeva, S., Connors, S., Legeais, J.-F., Birol, F., and Abarca-del-Rio, R.: Abrupt trend change in global mean sea level and its components in the early 2010s, Commun. Earth Environ., 7, 130, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-03149-5, 2026.
Minière, A., von Schuckmann, K., Sallée, J. B., and Vogt, L.: Robust acceleration of Earth system heating observed over the past six decades, Sci. Rep., 13, 22975, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598023-49353-1, 2023.
Mu, D., Huang, R., Yin, P., Yan, H., and Xu, T.: Reconstructing sea level rise from global tide gauges since 1900, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 5507–5528, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-5507-2025, 2025.
Pan, Y., Cheng, L., Abraham, J., Trenberth, K. E., Reagan, J., Du, J., Wang, Z., Storto, A., Von Schuckmann, K., Zhu, Y., and Mann, M. E.: Ocean Heat Content Sets Another Record in 2025, Adv. Atmos. Sci., https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-026-5876-0, 2026.
Storto, A. and Yang, C.: Acceleration of the ocean warming from 1961 to 2022 unveiled by large-ensemble reanalyses, Nat. Commun., 15, 545, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-447497, 2024.
Tan, Z., Von Schuckmann, K., Speich, S., Bopp, L., Zhu, J., and Cheng, L.: Observed large-scale and deep-reaching compound ocean state changes over the past 60 years, Nat. Clim. Chang, 16, 58–68, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02484-x, 2025
World Meteorological Organization (WMO). State of the Global Climate 2025 (WMO-No. 1342). Geneva, 2026. ISBN: 978-92-63-11299-7. https://doi.org/10.59327/WMO/S/CRI/SOC1
L’étendue globale de la banquise a atteint son deuxième maximum annuel le plus faible depuis 1982, avec 32,1 millions de km².
Hobbs, W., Spence, P., Meyer, A., Schroeter, S., Fraser, A. D., Reid, P., Tian, T. R., Wang, Z., Liniger, G., Doddridge, E. W., and Boyd, P. W.: Observational evidence for a regime shift in summer Antarctic sea ice, J. Climate, 37, 2263–2275, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0479.1, 2024.
Howell, S. E. L., Cabaj, A., Babb, D. G., Landy, J. C., Dawson, J., Mahmud, M., and Brady, M.: Near sea ice-free conditions in the northern route of the Northwest Passage at the end of the 2024 melt season, The Cryosphere, 19, 6711–6725, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6711-2025, 2025
IPCC: IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, Cambridge University Press, https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157964, 2019.
Meier, W. N., Petty, A., Hendricks, S., Bliss, A., Kaleschke, L., Divine, D., Farrell, S., Gerland, S., Perovich, D., Ricker, R., Tian-Kunze, X., and Webster, M.: NOAA Arctic Report Card 2025: Sea Ice, NOAA technical report OAR ARC 25-06 (Arctic Report Card), https://doi.org/10.25923/mmxf-0r86, 2025.
von Schuckmann, K., Moreira, L., Grégoire, M., Marcos, M., Staneva, J., Brasseur, P., Garric, G., Lionello, P., Karstensen, J., and Neukermans, G. (Eds.): 8th edition of the Copernicus Ocean State Report (OSR8), Copernicus Publications, State Planet, 4-osr8, 10.5194/sp-4-osr8, 2024.
Walsh, J. E., Eicken, H., Redilla, K., and Johnson, M.: Sea ice breakup and freeze-up indicators for users of the Arctic coastal environment, The Cryosphere, 16, 4617–4635, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4617-2022, 2022.
1 685 espèces marines sont désormais menacées, avec une dégradation de leur état de conservation.
Lévy, M., von Schuckmann, K., Vincent, P., Blanke, B., Claudet, J., Guillotreau, P., Hasson, A., Jolly, C., Shin, Y., Thébaud, O., Vincent, A., and Bahurel, P.: The 2025 Starfish Barometer, in: 9th edition of the Copernicus Ocean State Report (OSR9), edited by: von Schuckmann, K., Moreira, L., de Pascual Collar, Á., Grégoire, M., Brasseur, P., Garric, G., Karstensen, J., Lionello, P., Marcos, M., Poulain, P.-M., and Staneva, J., Copernicus Publications, State Planet, 6-osr9, 1, https://doi.org/10.5194/sp-6-osr91-2025, 2025.
84,4 % des récifs coralliens ont subi un stress thermique suffisamment sévère pour provoquer leur blanchissement.
Bhuyan, M. S., Jenzri, M., Islam, M. T., Adikari, D., and Hoque, M. M.: Climate change impacts on coral reefs and emerging resilience pathways: A systematic review, Ocean Coast. Manag., 276, 108134, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2026.108134, 2026.
IPCC: IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, Cambridge University Press, https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157964, 2019.
Pearce-Kelly, P., Altieri, A. H., Bruno, J. F., Cornwall, C. E., McField, M., Muñiz-Castillo, A. I., Rocha, J., Setter, R. O., Sheppard, C., Roman-Cuesta, R. M., and Yesson, C.: Considerations for determining warm-water coral reef tipping points, Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 275–292, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-275-2025, 2025.
Ramsar: Global Wetland Outlook 2025: Valuing, conserving, restoring and financing wetlands, Secretariat of the Convention on Wetlands, Gland, Switzerland, https://doi.org/10.69556/GWO2025-eng, 2005.
Souter, D., Planes, S., Wicquart, J., Logan, M., Obura, D., and Staub, F. (Eds.): Status of Coral Reefs of the World: 2020, Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network (GCRMN), Australian Institute of Marine Science, https://gcrmn.net/2020-report/.
Pressions humaines
Les émissions du transport maritime mondial restent stables, traduisant des progrès limités en matière de décarbonation.
Tekman, M. B., Walther, B. A., Peter, C., Gutow, L., and Bergmann, M.: Impacts of plastic pollution in the oceans on marine species, biodiversity and ecosystems, WWF Germany, Berlin, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5898684, 2022.
UNEP: From Pollution to Solution: A global assessment of marine litter and plastic pollution, Nairobi, United Nations Environment Programme, https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/36963, 2021.
Zhu, X., Rochman, C. M., Hardesty, B. D., and Wilcox, C.: Plastics in the deep sea – A global estimate of the ocean floor reservoir, Deep-Sea Res.-Pt. I, 206, 104266, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2024.104266, 2024.
67% des navires de pêche industrielle opérant dans de vastes aires marines protégées côtières ne sont pas suivis.
Dahms, C. and Killen, S. S.: Temperature change effects on marine fish range shifts: A meta-analysis of ecological and methodological predictors, Glob. Change Biol., 29, 4459–4479, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16770, 2023.
Paolo, F. S., Kroodsma, D., Raynor, J., Hochberg, T., Davis, P., Cleary, J., Marsaglia, L., Orofino, S., Thomas, C., and Halpin, P.: Satellite mapping reveals extensive industrial activity at sea, Nature, 625, 85–91, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-068258, 2024.
Pinsky, M. L., Selden, R. L., and Kitchel, Z. J.: Climate-driven shifts in marine species ranges: scaling from organisms to communities, Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci., 12, 153–179, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-010419-010916, 2020.
Raynor, J., Orofino, S., Costello, C., McDonald, G., Mayorga, J., and Sala, E.: Little-to-no industrial fishing occurs in fully and highly protected marine areas, Science, 389, 392–395, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adt9009, 2025.
Seguin, R., Le Manach, F., Devillers, R., Velez, L., and Mouillot, D.: Global patterns and drivers of untracked industrial fishing in coastal marine protected areas, Science, 389, 396–401, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.ado9468, 2025.
Sharma, R., Barange, M., Agostini, V., Barros, P., Gutierrez, N. L., Vasconcellos, M., Fernandez Reguera, D., Tiffay, C., and Levontin, P. (Eds.): Review of the state of world marine fishery resources – 2025, FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Technical Papers, No. 721, Rome, https://doi.org/10.4060/cd5538en, 2025.
31 contrats d’exploration des ressources minérales des grands fonds marins sont actuellement en vigueur.
Amon, D. J., Levin, L. A., Metaxas, A., Mudd, G. M., and Smith, C. R.: Heading to the deep end without knowing how to swim: Do we need deep-seabed mining?, One Earth, 5, 220–223, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.02.013, 2022.
Hilmi, N., Dbouk, W., Crisóstomo, M., Couvreur, C., Arruda, G., Aziza, A., and Bax, N.: Governing the deep: Economic, ecological, and legal perspectives on deep-sea mining in areas beyond national jurisdiction, Mar. Policy, 183, 106887, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2025.106887, 2026.
Sánchez, O., Stefanni, S., and Bhadury, P.: The deep sea biodiversity and conservation collection, Sci. Rep., 14, 27559, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-77742-7, 2024.
Les déchets plastiques ont atteint un niveau record de 130 Mt, dont jusqu’à 10 % pourraient rejoindre l’océan.
Tekman, M. B., Walther, B. A., Peter, C., Gutow, L., and Bergmann, M.: Impacts of plastic pollution in the oceans on marine species, biodiversity and ecosystems, WWF Germany, Berlin, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5898684, 2022.
UNEP: From Pollution to Solution: A global assessment of marine litter and plastic pollution, Nairobi, United Nations Environment Programme, https://wedocs.unep.org/handle/20.500.11822/36963, 2021.
Zhu, X., Rochman, C. M., Hardesty, B. D., and Wilcox, C.: Plastics in the deep sea – A global estimate of the ocean floor reservoir, Deep-Sea Res.-Pt. I, 206, 104266, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2024.104266, 2024.
Impacts sociétaux
Des pertes économiques élevées liées aux tempêtes tropicales et aux inondations en 2024.
Fischer, S. and Patterson, L.: Natural disasters, environmental values, and the importance of politics: Empirical evidence from worldwide survey data, J. Econ. Psychol., 114, 102890, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2026.102890, 2026.
Guan, S., Huang, M., Cai, W., Zhang, Z., Lin, I. I., Kim, H. S., Zhou, L., Lin, X., Xu, Z., Jin, F. F., and Mei, W.: Weak self-induced cooling of tropical cyclones amid fast sea surface warming, Nat. Geosci., 19, 153–158, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01879-x, 2026.
Hallegatte, S., Vogt-Schilb, A., Rozenberg, J., Bangalore, M., and Beaudet, C.: From Poverty to Disaster and Back: a Review of the Literature, Econ. Disasters Clim. Chang., 4, 223–247, https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-020-00060-5, 2020.
Jing, R., Heft-Neal, S., Wang, Z., Chen, J., Qiu, M., Opper, I. M., Wagner, Z., and Bendavid, E.: Decreased likelihood of schooling as a consequence of tropical cyclones: Evidence from 13 low- and middle-income countries, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 122, e2413962122, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2413962122, 2025.
Weerasinghe, T., Amaratunga, D., and Haigh, R.: Appraising investments in Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR): A systematic literature review, Prog. Disaster Sci., 26, 100438, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100438, 2025.
WMO: State of the Global Climate 2021, WMO-No. 1290, ISBN 978-92-63-11290-3, https://library.wmo.int/idurl/4/56300, 2021. Last access: 12 March 2026.
L’instabilité géopolitique a porté les coûts de l’assurance maritime à 39,9 milliards de dollars américains.
Chi, X., Zheng, R., Chen, Y., and Xiao, G.: Research on the volatility spillover effects of geopolitical conflict risks on international shipping and crude oil markets, Front. Mar. Sci., 12, 1647599, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2025.1647599, 2025.
Cong, L., Zhang, H., Wang, P., Chu, C., and Wang, J.: Impact of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict on Global Marine Network Based on Massive Vessel Trajectories, Remote Sens., 16, 1329, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16081329, 2024.
Kotenko, S., Ilchenko, S., Kasianova, V., Diakov, V., Mashkantseva, S., and Nitsenko, V.: Determination of the Expected Value of Losses Caused by the Cargo Transportation Insurance Risks by Water Transport, Inventions, 7, 81, https://doi.org/10.3390/inventions7030081, 2022.
La moitié du coût social du changement climatique est supportée par l’économie océanique.
Bastien-Olvera, B. A., Aburto-Oropeza, O., Brander, L. M., Cheung, W. W., Emmerling, J., Free, C. M., Granella, F., Tavoni, M., Verschuur, J., and Ricke, K.: Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon, Nat. Clim. Chang., https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02533-5, 2026.
Maatouk, C., Germanos, O., Khattab, Y., Aad, A. M., Aboelhassam, Y. M. E. I., Gandour, G., Hafeez, H. S., Vicerra, P. M. M., Budhathoki, S. S., Lucas, D., and Canals, M. L.: Migration and health policy: Applying the nexus to safety issues of migrants crossing the Mediterranean Sea, Public Health Chall., 4, e70023, https://doi.org/10.1002/puh2.70023, 2025.
Marine Protection Atlas: https://mpatlas.org, last access: 25 February 2026.
Yang, X., Chen, D., Wahab, I., and Burman, A.: Evidence of climate and economic drivers affecting migration in an unequal and warming world, Commun. Earth Environ., 6, 782, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02811-2, 2025.
Efforts de Protection
Les aires marines protégées couvrent 10,01 % de l’océan mondial, dont 3,2 % bénéficient d’une protection intégrale ou stricte.
Barzuna, C., Haugan, P., Barbière, J., Swift, A., Khan, M., Ansong, J. O., James, P. A. S., Scherer, M., Thiele, T., von Schuckmann, K., Abramic, A., Barrowclough, D., Cisneros-Montemayor, A., Girón, A., Heaps, L., Koirala, S., Lyons, M., Paul, K., Priyanto, A. T., Randone, M., Rosado, S., Santos, C. F., Savoldelli, C., Spalding, A. K., Strand, M., Sumaila, U. R., Swaddling, A., Turner, J., Vestergaard, O., and Yulianto, I.: Handbook on Sustainable Ocean Plans: A practitioners' guide, World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, https://oceanpanel.org/publication/sop-handbook/, 2025. Last access: 12 March 2026.
Horta e Costa, B., de Benito-Abelló, C., Pike, E., Turnbull, J., MacCarthy, J., Harasta, N., Fragkopoulou, E., Roessger, J., Sullivan-Stack, J., Grorud-Colvert, K., and Gill, D.: Marine protected areas stage of establishment and level of protection are good predictors of their conservation outcomes, Cell Rep. Sustain., 2, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crsus.2025.100345, 2025.
Lévy, M., von Schuckmann, K., Vincent, P., Blanke, B., Claudet, J., Guillotreau, P., Hasson, A., Jolly, C., Shin, Y., Thébaud, O., Vincent, A., and Bahurel, P.: The 2025 Starfish Barometer, in: 9th edition of the Copernicus Ocean State Report (OSR9), edited by: von Schuckmann, K., Moreira, L., de Pascual Collar, Á., Grégoire, M., Brasseur, P., Garric, G., Karstensen, J., Lionello, P., Marcos, M., Poulain, P.-M., and Staneva, J., Copernicus Publications, State Planet, 6-osr9, 1,https://doi.org/10.5194/sp-6-osr91-2025, 2025.
Marine Protection Atlas: https://mpatlas.org, last access: 25 February 2026.
Les principaux systèmes d’observation in situ de l’océan sont en déclin, réduisant la capacité de protection de l’océan.
Boyer, T., Zhang, H., O'Brien, K., Reagan, J., Diggs, S., Freeman, E., Garcia, H., Heslop, E., Hogan, P., Huang, B., Jiang, L., Kozyr, A., Liu, C., Locarnini, R., Mishonov, A., Paver, C., Wang, Z., Zweng, M., Alin, S., Barbero, L., Barth, J., Belbeoch, M., Cebrian, J., Connell, K., Cowley, R., Dukhovskoy, D., Galbraith, N., Goni, G., Katz, F., Kramp, M., Kumar, A., Legler, D., Lumpkin, R., McMahon, C., Pierrot, D., Plueddemann, A., Smith, E., Sutton, A., Turpin, V., Jiang, L., Suneel, V., Wanninkhof, R., Weller, R., and Wong, A.: Effects of the Pandemic on Observing the Global Ocean, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 104, E389–E410, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0210.1, 2023.
Gattuso, J.-P., Houllier, F., Adams, J., Amon, D., Bambridge, T., Cheung, W., Chiba, S., Cortés, J., Duarte, C. M., Frölicher, T., Gelcich, S., Gjerde, K., Greaves, D., Haugan, P. M., Li, D., and Tuda, A.: US federal cuts threaten international ocean science and diplomacy, Nature Ecology and Evolution, 9, 1079–1080, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-025-02750-3, 2025.
Tanhua, T., Traon, P.-Y. L., Köstner, N., Eparkhina, D., Navarro, G., Dunbar, M. B., Speich, S., Pascual, A., von Schuckmann, K., Liguori, G., Karstensen, J., Hassoun, A. E. R., Doorn, E. van, Barceló-Llull, B., Gómez, B. P., Cusack, C., Heslop, E., Lara-Lopez, A., Petihakis, G., Telszewski, M., Palacz, A. P., Wilmer-Becker, K., Pearlman, J., Piniella, Á. M., Heymans, J. J., and Lips, I.: Towards a sustained and fit-for-purpose European ocean observing and forecasting system, Front. Mar. Sci., 11, 1394549, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1394549, 2024.
von Jackowski, A.: Navigating the current landscape of ocean observations: an overview from platform infrastructures to networks related to ocean time series, Front. Mar. Sci., 11, 1363863, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1363863, 2025.
Deux traités internationaux sur l’océan sont entrés en vigueur.
Selig, E. R., Nakayama, S., Wabnitz, C. C. C., Österblom, H., Spijkers, J., Miller, N. A., Bebbington, J., and Decker Sparks, J. L.: Revealing global risks of labor abuse and illegal, unreported, and unregulated fishing, Nat. Commun., 13, 1612, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28916-2, 2022.
Des protections internationales renforcées pour les requins et les raies ont été adoptées.
CITES: Amendments to Appendices I and II of the Convention adopted by the Conference of the Parties at its 20th meeting, Samarkand, 24 November–5 December 2025, Notification To The Parties, No. 2026/005, Geneva, https://cites.org/sites/default/files/notifications/E-Notif-2026-005_0.pdf, 2026a. Last access: 12 March 2026.
CITES: Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora, https://cites.org/eng, last access: 2 April 2026b.
L’alimentation mondiale issue de la pêche repose de plus en plus sur des pratiques d’économie circulaire.
FAO FishStatJ: Software for Fishery and Aquaculture Statistical Time Series, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, https://www.fao.org/fishery/en/topic/166235/en, last access: 2 April 2026.
FAO SOFIA: Blue Transformation in action, The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture (SOFIA) 2024, Rome, https://doi.org/10.4060/cd0683en, 2024.
Lévy, M., von Schuckmann, K., Vincent, P., Blanke, B., Claudet, J., Guillotreau, P., Hasson, A., Jolly, C., Shin, Y., Thébaud, O., Vincent, A., and Bahurel, P.: The 2025 Starfish Barometer, in: 9th edition of the Copernicus Ocean State Report (OSR9), edited by: von Schuckmann, K., Moreira, L., de Pascual Collar, Á., Grégoire, M., Brasseur, P., Garric, G., Karstensen, J., Lionello, P., Marcos, M., Poulain, P.-M., and Staneva, J., Copernicus Publications, State Planet, 6-osr9, 1, https://doi.org/10.5194/sp-6-osr91-2025, 2025.
Plus de 2 000 startups contribuent à l’innovation dans l'économie océanique.
Jones, M., Polasky, S., Rueda, X., Brooks, S., Ingram, J. C., von Hase, A., Egoh, B., Kohsaka, R., Kulak, M., Leach, K., Loyola, R., Mandle, L., Rodriguez Osuna, V., Schaafsma, M., & Sonter, L. (2025). IPBES Business and Biodiversity Assessment: Summary for Policymakers. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19705111.
Johansen, D. F. and Vestvik, R. A.: The cost of saving our ocean-estimating the funding gap of sustainable development goal 14, Mar. Policy, 112, 103783, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2019.103783, 2020. Last access: 12 March 2026.
L’océan joue un rôle majeur dans l’atténuation du changement climatique.
Forster, P. M., Smith, C., Walsh, T., Lamb, W. F., Lamboll, R., Cassou, C., Hauser, M., Hausfather, Z., Lee, J.-Y., Palmer, M. D., von Schuckmann, K., Slangen, A. B. A., Szopa, S., Trewin, B., Yun, J., Gillett, N. P., Jenkins, S., Matthews, H. D., Raghavan, K., Ribes, A., Rogelj, J., Rosen, D., Zhang, X., Allen, M., Aleluia Reis, L., Andrew, R. M., Betts, R. A., Borger, A., Broersma, J. A., Burgess, S. N., Cheng, L., Friedlingstein, P., Domingues, C. M., Gambarini, M., Gasser, T., Gütschow, J., Ishii, M., Kadow, C., Kennedy, J., Killick, R. E., Krummel, P. B., Liné, A., Monselesan, D. P., Morice, C., Mühle, J., Naik, V., Peters, G. P., Pirani, A., Pongratz, J., Minx, J. C., Rigby, M., Rohde, R., Savita, A., Seneviratne, S. I., Thorne, P., Wells, C., Western, L. M., van der Werf, G. R., Wijffels, S. E., Masson-Delmotte, V., and Zhai, P.: Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 2641–2680, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-2641-2025, 2025.
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